New York, USA — July 26, 2025: A recent analysis by OpenAI’s ChatGPT has sparked debate in the crypto world, suggesting that Bitcoin (BTC) may fall below the $100,000 mark between August and September 2025. The forecast comes despite Bitcoin’s current bullish momentum, trading near $117,000 at press time.
According to the AI model, Bitcoin is hovering around a critical support level of $116,000. A breakdown below this threshold could trigger a slide toward $105,000 or even sub-$100,000 levels. The model assigns a 30–40% probability to this bearish scenario, citing key risk factors such as:
- A slowdown in spot Bitcoin ETF inflows
- Increased correlation with the S&P 500
- Potential regulatory crackdowns or exchange hacks
Bitcoin ETFs have played a pivotal role in driving recent price surges, with inflows reaching $130.8 million on June 25. However, Citi analysts warn that if inflows weaken, Bitcoin could tumble to as low as $64,000 — a stark contrast to their base-case projection of $135,000 by year-end.
Crypto strategist Michaël van de Poppe emphasized the importance of Bitcoin holding above $116,800, calling it a “key battleground for bulls.” If support holds, BTC could aim for $119,900 resistance. Otherwise, the $110,000–$112,000 range may become a prime accumulation zone for long-term investors.
Bitcoin Price Forecasts: 2025–2030 and Beyond
Here’s a breakdown of expert predictions and AI-driven models for Bitcoin’s future price trajectory, based on recent market data and macroeconomic trends:
Short-Term Forecasts (2025)
| Month | Predicted Low | Predicted High | Avg. Target |
|---|---|---|---|
| August | $112,683 | $118,272 | $115,478 |
| September | $112,886 | $119,342 | $116,114 |
| October | $112,594 | $119,415 | $116,005 |
| November | $111,751 | $121,015 | $116,383 |
| December | $111,213 | $120,529 | $115,871 |
Year-End Forecasts
| Year | Bearish Case | Average Case | Bullish Case |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $84,643 | $125,027 | $181,064 |
| 2026 | $95,241 | $111,187 | $142,049 |
| 2027 | $76,431 | $81,851 | $102,975 |
| 2028 | $76,257 | $104,836 | $139,061 |
| 2029 | $136,962 | $236,454 | $305,028 |
| 2030 | $198,574 | $266,129 | $295,577 |
Long-Term Outlook (2030–2040)
- 2030: Some experts project Bitcoin could reach $350,000–$500,000, driven by ETF inflows, retirement fund participation, and deeper integration into global finance.
- 2040: Ultra-bullish forecasts suggest a potential range of $400,000 to $1 million, assuming widespread adoption and institutional accumulation.
Key Drivers Behind These Forecasts
- ETF inflows: Over $1.1 trillion in cumulative spot BTC ETF volumes as of July 2025.
- Regulatory clarity: Crypto Week in the U.S. passed major bills supporting crypto innovation.
- Institutional adoption: Firms like BlackRock and Fidelity continue expanding BTC exposure.
- Halving effects: The April 2024 halving is expected to tighten supply and boost long-term prices.
