Although no one can definitively say what Social Security’s COLA will be in 2023 until the BLS releases the September inflation information later this week, the July and August inflation data provide rather solid indications as to what to anticipate.
Through the first two months of the third quarter, the cost-of-living adjustment was on rate for an 8.76% increase, which would be rounded up to 8.8%. Check SSI’s newly launched website for all the details.
For more information and news, FOLLOW US on our other social media channels!
LinkedIn: https://t.co/fUhefGNXSt
YouTube: https://t.co/2DUnYgxmKC
SocialSecurityBlog: https://t.co/15IkF9HZIE
Instagram: https://t.co/171HWAZi69 #FollowFriday pic.twitter.com/VUMDcTLmZy— Social Security (@SocialSecurity) October 7, 2022
However, with crude oil and natural gas prices tapering late, the top-line inflation reading for September is likely to fall from August. This is probably why Social Security policy analyst Mary Johnson of The Senior Citizens League (TSCL), a nonpartisan senior advocacy group, believes next year’s COLA will come in at 8.7%.
Get ready for announcement on or about 10/13!
Social Security COLA for 2023 is expected to be large; nonprofit Senior Citizen’s League projects 8.7% increase in benefits.
At 8.7%, average retiree benefit of $1,656 would increase by $144.10.
VOTE BLUE TO SAVE SOCIAL SECURITY!
— Lisa S. (@CassidyRae1414) October 9, 2022
Historically, an 8.7% COLA is high. Since the CPI-W became the primary measure of price changes for Social Security, an 8.7% increase would represent the fourth-largest year-over-year increase and the most significant percentage boost since 1982. In nominal-dollar terms, it’ll undoubtedly be the most significant increase on record.
But percentages are one thing — extra cash in your hand or bank account is an entirely different story. For the average retired worker, an 8.7% cost-of-living adjustment would result in a $146/month boost to their Social Security check.
On November 8th REMEMBER: Social Security is OUR money and we have the RECEIPTS!
— Peter Morley (@morethanmySLE) October 9, 2022
As for the average disabled worker and survivor (“survivor” includes all categories of survivors, such as widows/widowers, as well as parents and children), monthly benefits would be expected to rise by $119 and $116, respectively.
There’s plenty of reasons for retirees to cheer on a nominal-dollar basis. But dig a bit deeper, and seniors won’t be as happy.